Roobet has launched prediction markets — letting you trade YES/NO contracts on real-world events alongside its existing casino and sportsbook. The product targets the same gap Polymarket and Kalshi can’t fill for most of the world: a crypto-native, geo-flexible way to put money on outcomes that aren’t traditional sports lines. We’ve tested it, compared it to the incumbents, and this is our honest take.
Quick verdict
| Feature | Rating | Summary |
|---|---|---|
| Market access | ★★★★½ | Available in countries where Polymarket and Kalshi are blocked or hard to fund |
| Deposit speed | ★★★★★ | Crypto deposits land in minutes — no fiat onramp required |
| KYC friction | ★★★★★ | No SSN, no Plaid — same low-friction signup as the rest of Roobet |
| Market depth | ★★★½ | Solid at launch on sports and macro; thinner on long-tail events vs Polymarket |
| Fees / spreads | ★★★★☆ | Competitive with traditional sportsbooks; transparent on the order ticket |
| Bankroll integration | ★★★★★ | Predictions, sportsbook and casino share one wallet — no fragmenting funds |
| Resolution clarity | ★★★★☆ | Each market lists its resolution source up front |
| Overall | 4.3 / 5 | The first credible crypto-native alternative to Polymarket for the markets where Polymarket isn’t an option |
What are prediction markets?
A prediction market is a platform where you buy and sell contracts that pay out based on whether a real-world event happens. The two most common formats:
- Binary contracts — “Will [event] happen by [date]?” YES and NO contracts each pay $1 if their side resolves true, $0 if not. The price between $0.01 and $0.99 is the market’s implied probability.
- Categorical contracts — Multiple options (e.g. “Who wins the 2026 World Cup?”), where each candidate is a separate YES contract priced as a probability.
The price is information: a YES contract trading at 0.62 means the market collectively thinks there’s a 62% chance the event happens. You can hold to resolution or trade the contract before resolution if the price moves.
If you’ve never used one before, our how prediction markets work guide walks through the mechanics in depth.
How Roobet’s prediction markets work
Roobet’s prediction markets sit alongside the existing casino and sportsbook in the same account. Funding, withdrawals and bankroll are shared — you don’t move money between products.
Deposits and funding
You fund Roobet’s prediction markets the same way you fund the rest of the platform: in crypto. Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Dogecoin, USDT, Solana, XRP and several other coins are accepted. Minimum deposit is $5, deposits land in minutes, and there are no deposit fees from Roobet’s side beyond the network fee.
This is the single biggest practical difference from Kalshi (USD bank transfer, ACH, Plaid link required) and a meaningful difference from Polymarket (USDC on Polygon, requiring you to bridge or buy USDC on a separate exchange first).
Placing a trade
Each market has a YES and NO side priced between 0.01 and 0.99. You enter the dollar amount you want to risk, the platform shows your maximum payout, and you confirm. Trades settle into your Roobet wallet immediately — there’s no holding period before you can sell.
If the market is liquid, you can sell your position at any time before resolution to lock in a profit or cut a loss. If liquidity is thin, you’ll see a wider spread between YES and NO prices.
Resolution
Each market lists its resolution source on the market page — the verifiable, public reference Roobet uses to settle the contract (an official sports score feed, a regulator filing, a published index, etc.). When the event resolves, payouts hit your wallet automatically. No manual claim, no waiting period.
Withdrawals
Winnings sit in your Roobet wallet and can be withdrawn to crypto in minutes, like any other Roobet balance. The minimum withdrawal is $10 for most coins. There are no separate withdrawal rails for prediction markets — it’s the same plumbing the casino has used for years.
Roobet vs Polymarket
The honest comparison most readers are searching for. Polymarket is the deepest crypto-native prediction market in the world. Roobet is newer at this, but solves a different set of problems.
| Feature | Roobet Predictions | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| US access | Geo-restricted | Geo-restricted (officially) |
| UK access | Geo-restricted | Geo-restricted |
| Available in Canada / LatAm / most of EU | Yes | Yes (with friction) |
| Funding | Native crypto wallet on Roobet | USDC on Polygon (bridge required) |
| Onboarding | Same Roobet account | Wallet connect + USDC bridge |
| Market depth on political / macro | Lower | Highest in the world |
| Market depth on sports | Strong (Roobet has a sportsbook) | Strong |
| Casino + sportsbook on same account | Yes | No |
| KYC | Light, country-dependent | Light |
| Mobile experience | Same Roobet site, mobile-first | Web app, less polished |
Verdict: If you already trade political markets and have USDC on Polygon, Polymarket is still the deepest book. If you’re new to prediction markets, want to fund in BTC/ETH/USDT without bridging, or you also bet sports or play casino games, Roobet is materially less friction.
We’ve gone deeper on this in our full Roobet vs Polymarket comparison.
Roobet vs Kalshi
Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US prediction market. The comparison is short because the two platforms barely overlap.
| Feature | Roobet Predictions | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Regulator | Curaçao gaming licence | CFTC (US) |
| Access | International, ex-US/UK/several EU | US only |
| Funding | Crypto | USD bank / ACH / debit |
| KYC | Light | Full SSN + ID |
| Deposit time | Minutes | Days for ACH, instant for debit |
| Sports markets | Yes (and a separate sportsbook) | Yes (recently approved) |
| Mobile-first UX | Yes | Yes |
Verdict: Kalshi is the right answer if you’re a US resident who wants regulated event contracts in USD. For everyone else, Roobet is the practical choice — Kalshi is geofenced to the US.
Full breakdown in our Roobet vs Kalshi comparison.
What kinds of markets are listed?
At launch, Roobet’s prediction markets cover the categories that match its existing audience:
- Sports outcomes — championship winners, season MVPs, transfer markets, season-long award winners. These complement the existing sportsbook by listing markets sportsbooks don’t (long-tail futures, “will player X be transferred”, etc.).
- Esports — tournament winners, season splits, roster moves.
- Crypto — price-target markets, ETF approvals, network milestones.
- Entertainment & culture — awards shows, reality TV, viral outcomes.
- Macro & news — published economic indicators, regulatory decisions, dated milestones with a clear public resolution source.
The market list rotates as events resolve. Expect more political and election markets to appear ahead of major votes, and the long tail to grow as the product matures.
Fees, spreads and what it actually costs to trade
Roobet’s pricing model is closer to a sportsbook than to Polymarket’s AMM. The margin is built into the YES/NO spread rather than charged as a separate trading fee, and it’s visible on the order ticket before you confirm. There are no deposit, withdrawal or settlement fees on prediction-market wagers beyond standard crypto network costs.
A useful intuition: if YES and NO add up to more than $1.00 on a binary market, the difference is the platform’s edge. Roobet displays both sides on every market so this is transparent.
Use our implied-probability and odds converter to translate prediction-market prices into the American/decimal odds you might be more familiar with from the sportsbook.
Where is it available?
Roobet’s prediction markets follow the same geographic restrictions as the rest of the casino. The platform is available in most of Canada, Latin America, the Nordics, parts of Europe, parts of Africa and parts of Asia. It is restricted in the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Netherlands, Austria, France and several other countries.
For the full list see our Roobet allowed countries guide.
Is Roobet a safe place to trade prediction markets?
Roobet is operated by Raw Entertainment B.V. under a Curaçao eGaming licence, has been running since 2019, has processed over 12 billion bets, and holds high-profile partnerships with Chelsea FC and Snoop Dogg. The same wallet, withdrawal rails and KYC processes that handle billions in casino and sportsbook volume are used for prediction markets. If you’ve withdrawn from Roobet before, the experience here is identical.
That said, Roobet is not a US-regulated venue. If your priority is CFTC oversight, that’s Kalshi. Roobet’s value is geographic reach and rail simplicity, not US-domestic regulation.
Strategy for prediction markets at Roobet
A few principles that hold whether you trade on Roobet, Polymarket or Kalshi:
- Treat prices as probabilities. A 0.62 contract isn’t “62% off” — it’s a claim that the event happens 62% of the time. You make money when you find prices that disagree with reality, not when you find prices that look “cheap.”
- Watch the spread. Wide spreads on thin markets can cost more than the market’s true edge against you. Stick to liquid markets when starting out.
- Use Kelly sizing, not flat sizing. The same bankroll discipline that protects you in casino games protects you here. A correct view at the wrong size still busts you.
- Don’t pay full price for known outcomes. Markets near resolution often trade at 0.95+ on the favourite. The expected return is poor and your downside is full.
Our prediction markets vs sportsbook guide goes deeper on when to use each — same outcome, often very different price.
Pros and cons
What we liked
- Crypto deposits — no Plaid, no ACH, no fiat onramp friction
- No SSN required, geo-flexible signup
- One bankroll across prediction markets, sportsbook and casino
- Instant settlement to wallet — withdraw winnings in minutes
- Each market shows its resolution source up front
- Transparent spread on every order ticket
What could be better
- Market depth on long-tail political and macro events is still thinner than Polymarket
- Restricted in the US, UK, and several EU countries
- No US-domestic regulator (this is structural, not a bug)
- Some categories (politics) have shorter market lists at launch
Our verdict
Roobet’s prediction markets aren’t trying to out-Polymarket Polymarket on US political book depth — and they wouldn’t win that fight. What they do, that nothing else really does, is give you a crypto-native, geo-flexible prediction market under the same roof as a real sportsbook and casino. If you’re outside the US, that combination is unique. If you already use Roobet, the prediction markets just work — same wallet, same KYC, same withdrawal speed.
For everyone Polymarket can’t onboard cleanly and Kalshi can’t serve at all, this is now the easiest credible option.
Overall rating: 4.3 / 5
Frequently asked questions
What are prediction markets on Roobet?
Roobet prediction markets are YES/NO contracts on real-world events — sports outcomes, crypto prices, entertainment, macro and news. Prices between $0.01 and $0.99 represent the market’s implied probability. Buy YES if you think the event happens; buy NO if you don’t. Contracts settle to your Roobet wallet automatically when the event resolves.
Is Roobet a prediction market like Polymarket?
Roobet now offers prediction markets alongside its casino and sportsbook. Functionally, you trade YES/NO event contracts the same way you would on Polymarket. The differences are operational: Roobet uses native crypto rails on its own wallet, Polymarket uses USDC on Polygon and a wallet connect flow.
Is Roobet prediction markets available in the US?
No. Roobet is geo-restricted in the United States, including its prediction markets product. US residents who want regulated event contracts should look at Kalshi.
Is Roobet prediction markets available in the UK?
No. Roobet does not hold a UK Gambling Commission licence and is restricted in the United Kingdom.
How do I deposit to trade prediction markets on Roobet?
You fund prediction markets through your Roobet wallet using cryptocurrency — Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Dogecoin, USDT, Solana and others. The minimum deposit is $5 and deposits arrive in minutes. There are no fiat onramps, ACH transfers or bank links involved.
How fast are payouts on Roobet prediction markets?
When a market resolves, the payout hits your Roobet wallet automatically — there’s no claim step. From there, withdrawals to your own crypto wallet are processed in minutes, the same as any other Roobet withdrawal.
Are Roobet prediction markets fair?
Each market lists its resolution source on the market page — the public, verifiable reference used to settle the contract. Settlement is automated based on that source. Roobet operates under a Curaçao eGaming licence; if you require US-domestic regulator oversight specifically, Kalshi is the appropriate alternative.
Can I sell my prediction market position before resolution?
Yes. While a market is open and has liquidity, you can sell out of your position at the current YES or NO price to lock in a profit or limit a loss. Spreads will be wider on thin markets.
How does Roobet make money on prediction markets?
The platform’s margin is built into the spread between YES and NO prices on each market — the two sides typically add up to slightly more than $1.00, and the difference is the platform’s edge. There are no separate trading commissions or settlement fees beyond standard crypto network costs.
Is Roobet better than Polymarket?
Neither is universally better. Polymarket has deeper liquidity on long-tail political and macro markets and is the gold standard for US political event trading. Roobet is the better choice if you want crypto-native funding without bridging USDC, you live somewhere Polymarket has friction, or you already use Roobet’s casino or sportsbook and want everything in one wallet. Our Roobet vs Polymarket comparison goes through the trade-offs in detail.
Is Roobet prediction markets the same as their sportsbook?
No — they sit side by side. The sportsbook offers traditional moneyline, spread and total odds on individual games and matches. Prediction markets are YES/NO contracts on outcomes the sportsbook typically doesn’t price (long-term futures, crypto milestones, awards). Many users use both: the sportsbook for in-game odds, predictions for season-long and non-sports outcomes. See our prediction markets vs sportsbook guide.
